The headline is what I secretly wish, but more than likely that won't happen.
Of the two GOP primaries yesterday, Michigan had the most interesting results. Romney prevailed in both primaries:
Arizona
Romney 47% (29 delegates)
Santorum 27%
Gingrich 16%
Paul 8%
Michigan
Romney 41% (11 delegates)
Santorum 38% (11 delegates)
Paul 12%
Gingrich 7%
Arizona's all-or-nothing rules means Romney won all 29 delegate, while Michigan split their delegates based on percentages. As of this morning, 8 delegates remain unpledged.
Michigan is interesting because it's widely identified as Romney's birthplace and known as his "second home state". Yet he only barely squeaked by Santorum, who's expected to do reasonably well in next week's "Super Tuesday" election. 10 states will hold primaries and caucuses then, including Massachusetts, which of course is Romney's home state.
The current delegate count is:
Romney 168
Santorum 48
Gingrich 38
Paul 27
So with Romney holding a substantial lead over everyone else it looks like Super Tuesday will be a showdown, and anyone who performs poorly will likely see their financing dry up as their contributors rush to the front runners. Should Romney sweep it, more than likely it will end the race right there.
Of course, Romney is heavily favored to win the nomination, but I'm half-hoping for a spirited challenge from Santorum or Gingrich just so I can see the fireworks continue.
But I doubt it will go on much longer.
3 comments:
I think I would put my money on Romney, too. Because of the treasure chest(s) he has available to him. Personally, I was pulling for Newt because he essentially, for me, best epitomizes Republican incompetence when it comes to governance.
Yeah, I have to agree. When you have hundreds of millions in cash you can draw upon, you'll be very tough to beat. Especially in this new era of super pacs, which encourage massive contributions with minimal limitations. I like Newt just because of his "losability" potential. But I doubt any Republican can win in November.
The only thing that potentially may hurt Obama is if gas prices spiral out of control over the summer. If we see fuel at $6 a gallon, people will vote differently than at $4.
I'd have to agree with Mike Rivero's take on this-
"The fact is there has not been a single caucus or primary that has been worthy of trust. Up in Maine the state GOP is still insisting on one set of numbers while the people who ran the individual caucuses still insist the state GOP is "in error." 8 precincts worth of votes went missing in Iowa along with other admitted counting "errors." And behind it all is the obvious disparity between the GOP's official results and every other online poll, straw poll, and exit poll in this election; an obvious sign of vote fraud in progress."
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