Saturday, May 03, 2008

7 vote margin

Guam's never-been-significant caucuses became world wide news today, with Barack Obama winning the caucus (which more closely resembles a primary) by seven votes out of over 4,500 cast on the remote island.

The small margin ensures an even split of the four delegate votes (eight "half-votes" actually) decided by the election, with five additional super delegates. The super delegates currently are expected to favor Obama by one or two, and possibly three. (Note: I just realized that you can't split five votes and have someone get TWO more than the other; it's either 3-2 or 4-1, which gives you a margine of ONE or THREE.)

Tuesday brings the big North Carolina and Indiana primaries.

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